Farsta vs Arlanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
13º
8º
64
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
60% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
60% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 33 |
8º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Farsta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FOF
2 - 1
KUN
63%
18%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OST
1 - 4
FOF
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
FOF
3 - 3
FCJ
49%
23%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
FOF
43%
22%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FOF
2 - 0
DAL
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Arlanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
OST
68%
18%
14%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCJ
0 - 1
FCA
29%
23%
48%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 0
SAN
69%
17%
13%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DAL
1 - 3
FCA
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCA
0 - 0
FBS
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |