FNQ Heat vs SWQ Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.1%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FNQ
0 - 1
BRI
43%
21%
36%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
3 - 6
FNQ
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SUN
2 - 2
FNQ
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
FNQ
2 - 3
NOF
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FNQ
3 - 2
BRI
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OLY
5 - 2
SWQ
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SWQ
2 - 2
BRR
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
WES
5 - 2
SWQ
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SUN
1 - 0
SWQ
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SWQ
0 - 0
RED
6%
11%
83%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | +2 |