Liga Brasileña Sub 23 Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Fluminense U23 vs Vila Nova U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
35.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 1
RBB
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
FLU
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
COR
0 - 2
FLU
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
FLU
0 - 1
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Vila Nova U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 5
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
CEA
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 3
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |