Liga Brasileña Sub 23 Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Fluminense U23 vs Fortaleza U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
FLU
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 0
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 4
FLU
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
SPR
2 - 0
FLU
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 0
SPR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
FLU
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
7 - 0
PAY
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
0 - 2
FOR
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CEC
0 - 0
FOR
25%
25%
51%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 3
CEC
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |