Fluminense SC vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 2
FFC
69%
17%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
FFC
0 - 0
MAR
17%
20%
63%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
FFC
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 0
FFC
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
FFC
1 - 2
CAM
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
JAR
0 - 2
GUA
10%
18%
73%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
JAR
3 - 2
JUV
13%
17%
69%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 2
JAR
78%
13%
8%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
CAM
6 - 0
JAR
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
JAR
0 - 7
CAC
13%
17%
70%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -2 |