Fluminense SC vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
63.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HER
0 - 1
FFC
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
MAF
1 - 0
FFC
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
FFC
1 - 2
CAM
13%
21%
66%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
CAC
2 - 0
FFC
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
FFC
83%
12%
6%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 2
JAR
78%
13%
8%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
HER
1 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 3
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CAM
0 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |