Fluminense vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
COT
1 - 1
FLU
40%
28%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
SAO
69%
20%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLU
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 1
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
CRZ
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
VIT
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
PPE
2 - 0
VIT
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
GRE
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 4
VIT
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |