Fluminense vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
ATM
3 - 2
FLU
49%
26%
25%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
DGV
1 - 0
FLU
12%
23%
65%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 1
SPO
46%
27%
28%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
FLU
1 - 0
APA
81%
14%
6%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
UNI
5 - 1
CON
61%
20%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
ONC
1 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 1
CSL
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HUA
2 - 1
UNI
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
UNI
1 - 1
FLU
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |