Fluminense vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 0
AVA
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLU
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 1
PAL
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATP
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 0
SAO
63%
22%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 0
SPO
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 2
SAO
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |