Fluminense vs Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
FLU
3 - 1
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 1
FLU
37%
27%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SFE
1 - 2
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FLU
4 - 1
MAD
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
SFE
0 - 0
RIV
16%
22%
62%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SFE
0 - 0
JUN
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
SFE
1 - 2
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JUN
3 - 1
SFE
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 1
SFE
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |