Copa do Brasil . 1/32
Global 6-3
Fluminense vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
SAM
2 - 1
FLU
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ATP
3 - 2
FLU
58%
22%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2001 |
FLU
3 - 2
PPE
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
COR
1 - 2
FLU
57%
22%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAN
47%
25%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
SAM
2 - 1
FLU
20%
26%
54%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
0 - 2
CRB
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
ANA
4 - 1
SAM
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAM
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
2 - 1
REM
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |