Fluminense vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
SCI
2 - 0
FLU
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1986 |
FLU
1 - 0
OPE
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
BAN
0 - 1
FLU
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
FLU
0 - 0
FER
64%
23%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1985 |
ARG
1 - 0
FLU
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
OPE
0 - 1
SAM
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1986 |
SAM
0 - 3
CEA
30%
28%
43%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
SAM
1 - 2
SPO
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
CEA
4 - 1
SAM
72%
17%
10%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1985 |
SAM
2 - 1
ABC
43%
30%
28%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |