Fluminense vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 0
MAC
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
FLU
6%
15%
79%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLU
6%
15%
79%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 0
POR
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 0
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
SAM
4 - 0
SAL
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
4 - 0
SAL
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 1
SAN
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 3
SAL
18%
22%
61%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 1
SAL
15%
25%
61%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |