Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Fluminense vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
EME
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
EME
2 - 1
FLU
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FLU
4 - 1
VOL
86%
11%
3%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
BAN
83%
12%
4%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 3
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
OLI
2 - 0
TIG
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
GEN
0 - 1
OLI
27%
27%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
OLI
4 - 3
LQE
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
TIG
2 - 1
OLI
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |