Fluminense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
FLU
25%
27%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SCI
0 - 1
FLU
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 2
FLU
29%
26%
45%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
ATM
22%
26%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
73%
17%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
NAU
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 1
VAS
24%
27%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CRZ
3 - 0
NAU
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |