Fluminense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
ATM
0 - 0
FLU
40%
26%
35%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
FLU
1 - 0
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 2
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2008 |
NAU
2 - 1
GOI
50%
23%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ATM
1 - 0
NAU
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
NAU
3 - 2
ATM
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
58%
22%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2008 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAL
84%
11%
5%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |