Fluminense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
FFL
0 - 2
FLU
43%
26%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATM
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
GOI
5 - 3
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAO
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
FLA
0 - 2
FLU
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
44%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
GRE
4 - 3
NAU
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 0
COR
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
CRZ
2 - 2
NAU
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
NAU
4 - 1
JUV
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |