Fluminense vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
ZAM
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
BOC
1 - 2
FLU
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
3 - 0
NOV
86%
11%
4%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RES
2 - 1
FLU
11%
18%
72%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
3 - 1
FRI
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
2 - 3
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
DUQ
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
OLA
0 - 1
MAC
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |