Fluminense vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
ARG
2 - 4
FLU
31%
25%
44%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
FLU
1 - 0
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
85 | 49 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
1 - 5
FLU
10%
22%
68%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
FLU
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
2 - 0
SNL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LQE
1 - 0
LIB
28%
28%
43%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
0 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | -1 |