Fluminense vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
15.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
BOT
3 - 1
FLU
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
4 - 1
MES
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
2 - 1
VAS
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 2
FLU
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
FLU
2 - 0
AME
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 2
FLU
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 0
PET
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |