Fluminense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
39%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 1
FLU
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAN
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 2
CEA
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
ATM
1 - 1
FLU
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 1
GRE
17%
27%
57%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
GRE
2 - 1
BRA
76%
16%
9%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 0
JUV
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 2
GRE
34%
28%
37%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 1
AME
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |