Fluminense vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
PAL
3 - 1
FLU
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATP
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
2 - 1
VIT
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 2
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
VAS
3 - 2
FLU
36%
28%
36%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
BAH
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 6
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
GRE
2 - 0
VAS
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 2
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
SPO
4 - 3
GRE
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |