Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 1-2
Fluminense vs Goiás EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
FLU
23%
27%
51%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 0
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 3
FLA
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
FLU
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
PPE
1 - 1
FLU
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Goiás EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
PPE
0 - 1
GOI
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 1
FLA
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
GOI
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 1
NAU
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 0
GOI
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |