Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
CUI
77%
16%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
CRZ
0 - 2
FLU
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
FLU
5 - 1
RIV
64%
20%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FOR
4 - 2
FLU
35%
26%
38%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 3
FLA
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 0
GOI
74%
16%
10%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ATP
2 - 1
FLA
32%
26%
42%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
FLA
24%
24%
52%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 3
BOT
72%
18%
11%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |