Carioca 1 Final

Global 4-3

Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis

Fluminense Flamengo
88 ELO 89
5.9% Tilt -7.1%
137º General ELO ranking 127º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.7%
Fluminense
24.5%
Draw
35.8%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
Fluminense
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.8%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fluminense
+5%
+12%
Flamengo

ELO progression

Fluminense
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
SPC
Sporting Cristal
1 - 3
Fluminense
FLU
23%
25%
52%
88 77 11 0
02 Apr. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
55%
23%
22%
88 89 1 0
18 Mar. 2023
FLU
Fluminense
7 - 0
Volta Redonda
VOL
80%
14%
6%
88 66 22 0
12 Mar. 2023
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
11%
23%
67%
88 64 24 0
09 Mar. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
55%
23%
22%
88 89 1 0

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2023
AUC
Aucas
2 - 1
Flamengo
FLA
18%
22%
60%
90 81 9 0
02 Apr. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
2 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
55%
23%
22%
89 88 1 +1
19 Mar. 2023
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 3
Flamengo
FLA
13%
20%
67%
89 76 13 0
14 Mar. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
80%
14%
7%
89 76 13 0
09 Mar. 2023
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
55%
23%
22%
89 88 1 0