Copa Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAO
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 0
AVA
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLU
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
33%
27%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 1
BAH
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
FLA
29%
27%
44%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
PPE
1 - 0
FLA
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |