Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
CAB
0 - 2
FLU
6%
15%
78%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
FLU
3 - 3
AME
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
FLU
5 - 0
BOT
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
FRI
2 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
75%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 1
VOL
90%
8%
2%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
OLA
2 - 0
FLA
12%
20%
68%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
FLA
2 - 3
ARN
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
MAD
1 - 2
FLA
9%
18%
74%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
FLA
4 - 2
BOT
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |