Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 4-1
Fluminense vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.9%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
7.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.2%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
2.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CRI
2 - 0
FLU
29%
24%
47%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
74%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 2
VAS
44%
24%
32%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
FLA
0 - 4
FLU
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
74%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2003 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
64%
20%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
COR
0 - 1
FLA
44%
24%
32%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
COR
3 - 0
FLA
94%
5%
1%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
FLA
1 - 8
COR
8%
19%
73%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |