Fluminense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 1
FLA
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 1
SAO
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FLU
1 - 0
AVA
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 1
VIT
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 1
BAH
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BAH
2 - 0
COR
22%
26%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 2
BAH
72%
19%
10%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 1
COT
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |