Fluminense vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 2
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 2
GRE
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FLU
2 - 1
PPE
72%
17%
10%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 2
FLU
26%
27%
47%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 0
COT
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
NAU
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
BAH
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 1
COT
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
COT
1 - 0
PPE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |