Fluminense vs Corinthians analysis

Fluminense Corinthians
88 ELO 88
1% Tilt -16.4%
137º General ELO ranking 126º
16º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.8%
Fluminense
24.6%
Draw
21.6%
Corinthians

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
Fluminense
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.6%
Win probability
Corinthians
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fluminense
+5%
-1%
Corinthians

Points and table prediction

Fluminense
Their league position
Corinthians
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
20º
13º
53
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Botafogo
76
77
100%
Palmeiras
73
73
100%
Flamengo
69
70
100%
Fortaleza EC
65
68
100%
Internacional
65
65
100%
São Paulo
59
60
100%
Corinthians
53
56
100%
Bahía
50
53
100%
Cruzeiro
49
52
100%
Vasco da Gama
10º
47
50
10º
100%
Atl. Mineiro
14º
44
47
11º
0%
Vitória
11º
46
47
12º
0%
Fluminense
15º
43
46
13º
100%
Grêmio
12º
45
45
14º
0%
EC Juventude
13º
45
45
15º
0%
RB Bragantino
17º
41
44
16º
100%
Athletico Paranaense
16º
42
42
17º
100%
Criciúma
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Cuiabá
20º
30
30
19º
100%
Atlético GO
19º
30
30
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fluminense
Corinthians
Champion
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Libertadores
0% 0%
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
0% 100%
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fluminense
Corinthians
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2024
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
54%
24%
22%
88 88 0 0
11 Aug. 2024
VAS
Vasco da Gama
2 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
54%
24%
22%
88 88 0 0
08 Aug. 2024
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 2
EC Juventude
JUV
58%
23%
19%
88 86 2 0
04 Aug. 2024
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 0
Bahía
BAH
47%
24%
29%
88 88 0 0
02 Aug. 2024
JUV
EC Juventude
3 - 2
Fluminense
FLU
42%
27%
31%
88 86 2 0

Matches

Corinthians
Corinthians
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Aug. 2024
BRA
RB Bragantino
1 - 2
Corinthians
COR
53%
25%
22%
88 88 0 0
11 Aug. 2024
COR
Corinthians
1 - 1
RB Bragantino
BRA
46%
25%
29%
88 88 0 0
08 Aug. 2024
GRE
Grêmio
0 - 0
Corinthians
COR
56%
24%
20%
88 88 0 0
04 Aug. 2024
COR
Corinthians
1 - 1
EC Juventude
JUV
55%
24%
21%
88 86 2 0
01 Aug. 2024
COR
Corinthians
0 - 0
Grêmio
GRE
49%
25%
27%
88 88 0 0