Fluminense vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
24.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 2
FLU
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 4
CHA
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
COT
1 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 2
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
GRE
52%
27%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
GOI
0 - 1
COR
37%
29%
34%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 2
COR
27%
31%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COR
2 - 2
COT
59%
24%
17%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |