Fluminense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATP
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 0
BAH
46%
28%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 0
FLU
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLU
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 2
GOI
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRZ
25%
29%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 0
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 1
FLA
14%
23%
63%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |