Fluminense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 2
ATM
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 2
FFL
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 2
PAL
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 0
COT
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
CHA
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 1
CUI
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CHA
1 - 3
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
CUI
1 - 0
CHA
13%
21%
66%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |