Fluminense vs Chapecoense analysis

Fluminense Chapecoense
81 ELO 79
4.1% Tilt -6%
138º General ELO ranking 567º
17º Country ELO ranking 39º
ELO win probability
57.5%
Fluminense
23.2%
Draw
19.3%
Chapecoense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
Fluminense
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.3%
Win probability
Chapecoense
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fluminense
+3%
+10%
Chapecoense

ELO progression

Fluminense
Chapecoense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 2016
FLU
Fluminense
4 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
37%
26%
37%
81 85 4 0
07 Sep. 2016
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
40%
27%
33%
81 78 3 0
03 Sep. 2016
FLU
Fluminense
3 - 2
Figueirense
FFL
62%
23%
16%
81 76 5 0
01 Sep. 2016
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 1
Corinthians
COR
34%
27%
39%
81 87 6 0
28 Aug. 2016
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 2
Palmeiras
PAL
41%
26%
34%
81 84 3 0

Matches

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2016
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 0
Coritiba
COT
51%
26%
23%
78 78 0 0
07 Sep. 2016
SAN
Santa Cruz
2 - 2
Chapecoense
CHA
35%
28%
37%
78 74 4 0
01 Sep. 2016
CHA
Chapecoense
3 - 1
Cuiabá
CUI
75%
18%
8%
78 60 18 0
28 Aug. 2016
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 3
Flamengo
FLA
42%
27%
31%
78 80 2 0
26 Aug. 2016
CUI
Cuiabá
1 - 0
Chapecoense
CHA
13%
21%
66%
79 58 21 -1