Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
LIG
76%
16%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LIG
1 - 0
FLU
21%
25%
54%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 1
FLU
5%
18%
77%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
73%
17%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
6 - 0
AUR
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 2
BOT
6%
20%
74%
|
89 | 44 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOT
16%
25%
59%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 4
VAS
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
VOL
0 - 3
BOT
18%
25%
57%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |