Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
18%
25%
58%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 2
AMF
65%
21%
14%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
3 - 2
FLU
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 0
FLU
57%
23%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
4 - 0
JUV
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
SCI
30%
28%
41%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
BOT
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 2
BOT
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 3
PAL
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
GOI
0 - 1
BOT
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |