Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
MAC
0 - 0
FLU
5%
16%
79%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2020 |
FLU
0 - 3
VOL
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 2
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
FFL
1 - 0
FLU
19%
24%
57%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
FLU
4 - 0
RES
86%
11%
3%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2020 |
POR
0 - 0
BOT
8%
18%
74%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
BOT
6 - 2
CAB
78%
16%
7%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
BAN
79%
16%
5%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
PAR
62%
23%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FLA
3 - 0
BOT
85%
11%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |