Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
FLU
1 - 1
ULC
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOA
82%
14%
4%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
FLA
0 - 1
FLU
80%
13%
7%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BAN
1 - 5
FLU
7%
17%
76%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 0
POR
84%
13%
3%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 1
BOT
14%
23%
63%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
VAS
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
RES
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
3 - 1
MAC
82%
14%
4%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
MAD
2 - 0
BOT
7%
18%
76%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | -1 |