Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 1
FLA
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAB
1 - 1
FLU
10%
18%
72%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
1 - 0
FLU
33%
26%
42%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
2 - 1
NOV
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLU
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 3
BOT
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
2 - 3
VAS
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
VOL
1 - 1
BOT
12%
23%
66%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
BOT
1 - 0
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |