Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
BAH
1 - 1
FLU
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 3
CHA
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
4 - 0
UCE
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLU
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 3
FLU
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 1
ATM
36%
26%
39%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
BOT
59%
24%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 0
BOT
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 2
AVA
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |