Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 0
CRI
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 0
AME
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 2
FLU
8%
17%
74%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BOA
0 - 1
BOT
12%
21%
67%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLU
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
CAB
79%
16%
6%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RES
0 - 1
BOT
16%
22%
62%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | +1 |