Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
GOI
1 - 2
FLU
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 1
COT
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
CRI
1 - 2
FLU
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 1
POR
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
0 - 1
PPE
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
CRZ
3 - 0
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
BOT
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |