Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 1
FLU
24%
25%
52%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BON
0 - 2
FLU
10%
19%
71%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 3
MAC
83%
12%
5%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 0
ZAM
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
DUQ
86%
11%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
86%
11%
4%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOT
15%
22%
63%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOT
11%
20%
69%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | -1 |