Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
DUQ
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 4
FLU
8%
20%
72%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
MAC
91%
7%
2%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FLU
6 - 2
OLA
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 1
FLU
12%
22%
66%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 1
BOT
11%
22%
67%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
OLA
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 1
MAD
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 5
BOT
11%
20%
70%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
DUQ
84%
12%
5%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |