Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
FLU
3 - 1
OPE
78%
15%
8%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 2
VAS
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 0
AME
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 4
FRI
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
OPE
2 - 3
FLU
21%
23%
57%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
CAM
1 - 0
BOT
22%
24%
55%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
AME
2 - 2
BOT
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
BOT
3 - 2
CAM
78%
14%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 1
CAB
87%
10%
4%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
FLA
3 - 2
BOT
49%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |