Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 2
SAO
56%
23%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2006 |
GRE
4 - 4
FLU
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
FLU
3 - 2
JUV
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 3
SCI
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
58%
21%
21%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
SCI
0 - 0
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2006 |
BOT
4 - 1
PPE
57%
23%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 1
BOT
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 3
FFL
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |