Fluminense vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FLU
5 - 1
MAD
85%
12%
3%
|
81 | 48 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 4
FLU
8%
18%
75%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
ULC
0 - 0
FLU
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
FLU
2 - 3
FLA
18%
25%
56%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FLU
3 - 0
BOT
53%
26%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SPC
1 - 1
BOT
8%
15%
77%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
2 - 2
BOT
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CSP
1 - 1
BOT
7%
18%
75%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 1
BOT
9%
19%
72%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CSA
0 - 1
BOT
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |