Fluminense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 3
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VAS
0 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
FLU
0 - 1
ATP
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ATP
2 - 1
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 1
CRZ
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 0
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
AVA
1 - 3
PAL
19%
25%
56%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |