Fluminense vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 2
FLU
15%
26%
59%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLU
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUN
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
COT
3 - 2
FLU
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
FLU
0 - 0
CAU
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
ATP
4 - 0
TOC
85%
12%
3%
|
84 | 40 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ATP
1 - 0
CEA
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
STR
5 - 0
ATP
37%
27%
37%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AMF
1 - 0
ATP
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 0
ATP
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |