Fluminense MG vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
59.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BOA
3 - 0
FMG
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
FMG
4 - 1
MAM
18%
23%
59%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | +10 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PAT
7 - 1
FMG
77%
14%
8%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FMG
0 - 2
PAT
16%
21%
63%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
MAM
1 - 0
FMG
75%
16%
9%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
UBE
2 - 1
URT
69%
18%
12%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
URT
4 - 2
PAT
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
BOA
2 - 2
URT
73%
18%
10%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
URT
3 - 3
BOA
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
PAT
0 - 1
URT
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |